cnn reporting John Edwards will endorse Obama

in MICHIGAN!!! Obama is working on his appeal to the voters that will decided this election, white democrats in Ohio and Michigan. The location for this important endorsement highlights what we already know here at sovm Michigan is the heart of this campaign. Obama understands Michigan's importance does McCain? We shall see.

MICHIGAN!!

MICHIGAN and OHIO!!! I hate the football teams, but assuming most polling data is correct if McCain can win those two states he can offset probable losses in states Bush won. Dear McCain call Karl Rove and tell him to lockdown those two states. I have my doubts about a McCain victory in Michigan, but if he makes it happen and holds Ohio then McCain wins. If he can do that the gop can buy sometime and retool our party and RECRUIT MINORITY CANDIDATES and other qualified candidates. The Democrats are dominating Republicans at candidate selection in Governors, Senators, and congressmen.

Michigan

Its often gets overlooked because of the importance of Ohio, but Michigan seems to want to vote McCain and you cannot count your chickens before they hatch, but I Think Michigan might just swing McCain's way. The fact that these voters voted for Hillary and will most likely not get their votes counted has got to anger them. I think McCain will do particularly well with white Democrats in this state. The glitz and glamour of Obama will not win this state, if Obama wins it will be for one of two reasons. 1. he somehow develops a backbone and comes up with more of a platform than "change" 2. The Democrats state party does a far better job of turning out the vote. The second is more likely than the first. Take a visit to this site and have some electoral fun http://www.270towin.com/

McCain must

-make efforts to reach out to African-American voters
-win Virginia or North Carolina and maintain the rest of the south. I think he can and will win NC and Va, but he cannot lose both.
-win Florida
-focus on his brand of conservative politics. You could call it commen sense conservatism instead of compassionate.
-McCain should visit college campuses he must reach out to younger voters. He has got to find a way to combat all the young and new voters for obama
- He must make sure people do not fall for the lie that Obama is some honest new kind of politician.
- He must indentify Obama as a liberal. He must allow folks to point out what and elitist hag obama's excuse for a wife is.
- Comminicate the idea that taxing cooperations causes lost jobs and makes America that much less competitive world wide.
- I am not Huck's biggest fan, but I think he appeals to the right people for McCain, Conservatives will vote for McCain, but Huck could bring out more.
- pick a vice president from the rust belt or the south. The electoral numbers favor John McCain if he maintains the south and gets a split in the rust belt.

The Solid South

if we can maintain Bush's southern coalition of states I believe McCain can win. This week I will try and preview the states McCain must win.

We Must Elect McCain

If John McCain loses this presidential race conservatives will lose any voice we may have had. The Democrats are going to make gains in the house and senate that is a fact, if McCain loses we lose the White House as well. The only good that could come of that is a realigning of the party and getting rid of some the dead weight. We need conservative voices that back their voice with action. The Conservative ideas are better than the liberal ideas, but too often our congressmen and senators lose their voice when they get to D.C.

McCain vs Obama

Can Mccain bring together the right coalition of states and voters to hold off the lying senator from illinois. We shall see.

Wisconsin

encouraging news.....
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/wisconsin/election_2008_wisconsin_presidential_election
Wisconsin, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, and Pennsylvania are states that McCain has to make Democrats nervous. With George W Bush's low approval ratings I am fine with voting for John McCain in 2008, if W had been a more successful President I would want a more conservative Candidate. If we lose the Presidential election and seats in both houses of congress the party is in big trouble. The previously mentioned states will most likely want a candidate without all the flare and more of the experience which is why I think John McCain may have more appeal in those states than W.


as a side not some of his popularity in Wisconsin may come from his work with Feingold.

Rush helps Hillary in Indiana

Its seems operation chaos paid off in Indiana. Clinton is the stronger general election candidate, but she has no chance of winning. This is good for the Republicans. The GOP must unite behind McCain win the 2008 presidential election and then start from scratch in Congress. The congressional GOP is weak and needs reform.

Pressure is on Hillary.

http://elections.foxnews.com/2008/05/07/clintons-longevity-in-jeopardy-after-indiana-squeaker/

Clinton is under pressure to bow out, I say keep fighting Obama. If Clinton sticks around she will get some victories in Kentucky and West Virginia.

I am going to break some news!!!

Hillary will win Indiana!!! I just can not believe folks have not called that yet.

Carville makes some great points

http://www.newsmax.com/insidecover/Carville_Democrats_Divide/2008/05/06/93789.html

this type of thougt leads me to believe in 2012 or 16 we will see electoral shift. I do not know how the parties will align, but I think it is coming.

This is something to really look at

If you love following elections as I do, this is a link to Karl Rove's polling data. This shows Hillary would be an electoral monster if she was nominated. She would be tough to beat, while Obama seems very beatable interestingly enough he does well for a democrat in Nebraska and North Dakota.
http://elections.foxnews.com/2008/05/06/raw-data-karl-rove-co-electoral-college-polling-trends/

according to Drudgereport.com

Obama will secure a win in North Carolina, while I believe Indiana will go for Clinton. Hillary has created a divide in the party. John Mccain will need to exploit. Mccain must win working class white Democrats to win the election.

Who will win tonight?

Hillary must win Indiana. If Obama is able to win Indiana despite all this bad press he has recieved I would have to say he is the nominee.