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Showing posts with label strategy room. Show all posts
Showing posts with label strategy room. Show all posts

Saturday, June 21, 2008

My outlook on this election

Polls Polls Polls... I look at them everyday twice day sometimes ten times a day, but sorry poll folks that will not tell the story.

The way to win this election is going to be voter registration. This what McCain seems to overlook and may eventually be his undoing. Yes he has to win independents, but he also has to win over the new registered voters and create new voters of his own.

What do the polls say?

http://www.pollingreport.com/

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/

http://surveyusa.com/

Right now the polls are speaking loud and clear.... If you listen you can hear their ever so quiet voice... saying McCain has to win this election.. Barack is not going to lose it....
My gut tells me some time around the Friday after the election I will suck it up and make one final farewell post. If I am thinking clearly enough to tell the truth I believe my thoughts will be something to this tune.

McCain should have run harder during the Democrat Primary. He should have taken that time to get to know the folks in Michigan and Ohio who will be key to a victory if he gets his victory. The McCain Biography tour was a failure. He should have spent this time meeting with conservative leaders telling them where he stands and why his positions best reflect their beliefs. McCain is relying on the base to rally itself which I am not guessing will happen in the numbers that he would need to pull out a victory.

His town hall meetings with Barack are an outstanding idea and they certainly help McCain , but Obama does not want to face the American people and become associated with his worn out liberal ideas he does not need to. McCain is going to somehow need to connect directly with Independents he is trying, but we can judge his success in November.

McCain has to reach out to African-Americans and youth. I am not seeing this happen. I have shown several polls on this website that indicate McCain is doing very well in some regions with African-Americans. Well they will be voting in record numbers this fall and may very well tip the race in Obama's favor. He has to make inroads he has to meet with leaders, campaign with leaders do whatever it takes. If you do not remember anything I ever type remember this... If McCain forfeits the youth and African-American vote he will lose this election.

So now that we have hit the negatives.... what can be done?
Spend money running ads in African American communities on TV and radio. Visit the inner-city. Take Micheal Steele and any other leading African-American Republicans who will go with him.
This may be to forward, but this would help. Coordinate a Country Music get out the vote Rally in the rural areas of Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Michigan. He is going to have to find these votes somewhere.
Start a youth website, where youth can explain why they support him through video uploads and where John McCain can communicate directly to Youth.

The three ideas in my mine are the way to slow down the ever changing, change express.

Thursday, June 19, 2008

ATTENTION JOHN MCCAIN

You need a website called youth for McCain.
1. allow youth to upload videos explaining why you support mccain
2. Have McCain give brief updates and interviews directed at youth
3. encourage youth to register to vote and register their friends to vote.
4. show mccain ads and clips of speeches

Thursday, June 12, 2008

Electoral Map -strategy room-

Keys to victory
A) above all keep Ohio and Florida
1. Keep Virginia and North Carolina
2. Keep Nevada
3. pick up Michigan
4.pick up New Hampshire

You will hear that Barack Obama will compete in Virginia and North Carolina in the final months of the campaign.... Maybe, but I doubt it, if he is in a position that he can spend money in those states most likely he has the election wrapped up.

At the rate these two candidates are going Barack Obama's name will be toxic in the southeast in about a week. All the money in the world will not be able to fix his bad name. Obama is new on the scene and he is not going to be welcome soon.

His message of putting the era of partisanship to rest was beyond false. He is the most divisive politician our country has seen in some time. I think people will have to wonder what exactly his change is... I have not figured it out yet.

Come July-November this will be an election based on issues and you have to believe that with the amount of time McCain and Obama have they can clearly define those issues. McCain and the GOP need to good job of explaining that "Big" oil is a relative term and they do not need to be scapegoated for our governments failures.

Time will tell and Obama has a strong machine, but at the end of the day if McCain can increase his support among women ever so slightly and energize the base he stands a great chance of winning. One thing is for sure Obama's partisan bickering is going to help get the base going and if McCain continues to emphasize his lower taxes we might pull this one out.

* as you can tell if you read this blog it is motivated by whatever is on my mind... that said I hope to keep giving you updates on my electoral outlook.