Showing posts with label Florida. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Florida. Show all posts
Monday, August 4, 2008
Friday, August 1, 2008
Tuesday, July 29, 2008
John Rich "Country First" Concert
http://www.rpof.org/concert
John McCain will be present at the event with John Rich. This is an outstanding way for John McCain to reach important voting groups like young folks.
John McCain will be present at the event with John Rich. This is an outstanding way for John McCain to reach important voting groups like young folks.
Thursday, July 17, 2008
Wednesday, July 9, 2008
Ron Klein old Obama style politician
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1XS4Qc-0edU&feature=related
Reject old politics vote for change vote Allen West
Reject old politics vote for change vote Allen West
Allen West, Republican congressional candidate
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=scGwRU_E6Qo&feature=related
An outstanding candidate for congress
An outstanding candidate for congress
Thursday, June 12, 2008
Electoral Map -strategy room-
Keys to victory
A) above all keep Ohio and Florida
1. Keep Virginia and North Carolina
2. Keep Nevada
3. pick up Michigan
4.pick up New Hampshire
You will hear that Barack Obama will compete in Virginia and North Carolina in the final months of the campaign.... Maybe, but I doubt it, if he is in a position that he can spend money in those states most likely he has the election wrapped up.
At the rate these two candidates are going Barack Obama's name will be toxic in the southeast in about a week. All the money in the world will not be able to fix his bad name. Obama is new on the scene and he is not going to be welcome soon.
His message of putting the era of partisanship to rest was beyond false. He is the most divisive politician our country has seen in some time. I think people will have to wonder what exactly his change is... I have not figured it out yet.
Come July-November this will be an election based on issues and you have to believe that with the amount of time McCain and Obama have they can clearly define those issues. McCain and the GOP need to good job of explaining that "Big" oil is a relative term and they do not need to be scapegoated for our governments failures.
Time will tell and Obama has a strong machine, but at the end of the day if McCain can increase his support among women ever so slightly and energize the base he stands a great chance of winning. One thing is for sure Obama's partisan bickering is going to help get the base going and if McCain continues to emphasize his lower taxes we might pull this one out.
* as you can tell if you read this blog it is motivated by whatever is on my mind... that said I hope to keep giving you updates on my electoral outlook.
A) above all keep Ohio and Florida
1. Keep Virginia and North Carolina
2. Keep Nevada
3. pick up Michigan
4.pick up New Hampshire
You will hear that Barack Obama will compete in Virginia and North Carolina in the final months of the campaign.... Maybe, but I doubt it, if he is in a position that he can spend money in those states most likely he has the election wrapped up.
At the rate these two candidates are going Barack Obama's name will be toxic in the southeast in about a week. All the money in the world will not be able to fix his bad name. Obama is new on the scene and he is not going to be welcome soon.
His message of putting the era of partisanship to rest was beyond false. He is the most divisive politician our country has seen in some time. I think people will have to wonder what exactly his change is... I have not figured it out yet.
Come July-November this will be an election based on issues and you have to believe that with the amount of time McCain and Obama have they can clearly define those issues. McCain and the GOP need to good job of explaining that "Big" oil is a relative term and they do not need to be scapegoated for our governments failures.
Time will tell and Obama has a strong machine, but at the end of the day if McCain can increase his support among women ever so slightly and energize the base he stands a great chance of winning. One thing is for sure Obama's partisan bickering is going to help get the base going and if McCain continues to emphasize his lower taxes we might pull this one out.
* as you can tell if you read this blog it is motivated by whatever is on my mind... that said I hope to keep giving you updates on my electoral outlook.
Tuesday, May 27, 2008
John McCain
Troubling numbers out west highlight the importance of Michigan, Ohio, and Florida. That is the winning formula for John McCain. The "Big Ten" is where McCain needs to go to work. Take trips out west that is fine, and smart, but as I noted earlier today he is advertising in Michigan this is smart. Obviously based on the maps of 2000 and 2004 McCain is on the defensive and Obama has to play offense. McCain can even lose a state or two that Bush won. If he maintains Florida, Ohio, and picks up Michigan I assure McCain is President. Plus a focus on those three states may open the door for Pennsylvania or maybe even New Jersey.
Friday, May 16, 2008
George W Bush's greatest gift to the GOP
W really set up a map that we can all look at and define presidential favorites. He also managed to develope a map in such a way that it favors the GOP. Considering the 2004 election he even gave McCain some breathing room. Here are some interesting facts that look good for McCain heading into 2008
All these are under the assumption that all things are equal from the 2004 map
- if McCain loses Ohio, but offsets it with a victory in New Hampshire. McCain wins the election 270-268
-McCain can lose Iowa and Colorado and still win the election
-McCain can lose Virginia or NC and still win the election
-If McCain manages to hold Ohio and pick up Michigan or Pennsylvania than he is the nominee almost certainly.
* studying the electoral map it is clear that this race will be won or lost in the rust belt
McCain's most important states
-Ohio and Florida- McCain has to win these states in order to win the election( I noted above he could switch ohio and new hampshire, but there will likely see several states switch columns.)
2. MICHIGAN!! the DNC primary debacle should open the door. If he can win Michigan he has plenty of breathing room.
3. the rest of the Bush coalition- if he does well in the Bush states and wins any 2 of the following
Florida, Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania than he wins the election
*** This leads me to believe that at some point when McCain was focused on helping W win elections, Bush told McCain if you help me when the election in 2004 I will hand you a blue print for an easy electoral victory in 2008, well I think the problem is if Bush was even an arguably good president then I think McCain would roll to a mighty victory.
All these are under the assumption that all things are equal from the 2004 map
- if McCain loses Ohio, but offsets it with a victory in New Hampshire. McCain wins the election 270-268
-McCain can lose Iowa and Colorado and still win the election
-McCain can lose Virginia or NC and still win the election
-If McCain manages to hold Ohio and pick up Michigan or Pennsylvania than he is the nominee almost certainly.
* studying the electoral map it is clear that this race will be won or lost in the rust belt
McCain's most important states
-Ohio and Florida- McCain has to win these states in order to win the election( I noted above he could switch ohio and new hampshire, but there will likely see several states switch columns.)
2. MICHIGAN!! the DNC primary debacle should open the door. If he can win Michigan he has plenty of breathing room.
3. the rest of the Bush coalition- if he does well in the Bush states and wins any 2 of the following
Florida, Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania than he wins the election
*** This leads me to believe that at some point when McCain was focused on helping W win elections, Bush told McCain if you help me when the election in 2004 I will hand you a blue print for an easy electoral victory in 2008, well I think the problem is if Bush was even an arguably good president then I think McCain would roll to a mighty victory.
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