Thursday, November 6, 2008
1. Limited Government
2. Strong Defense
3. Family Values
I think the governing majority comes from picking up votes from voters who and I realized this is overly generalizing, but picking up votes from...
100% of people who believe in all 3
60% of people who believe in 2
15-20% of the rest
Those ideas will always be viable in the south and Texas. The question is how to reconnect in the rust belt, colorado, and become a viable second party in the North.
The truth is we have many good young faces for the future and we can reconnect it will take time and it will take governors governing well.
One thing we must do is work to improve our ground game. and connect with Blacks and Hispanics. We are on the endangered species list if we do not become competitive in those areas.
Wednesday, November 5, 2008
Tuesday, September 30, 2008
Friday, September 19, 2008
Thursday, September 18, 2008
1. The Obama smear machine is too strong. Example How smart was it to start running the Limbaugh ad during the financial crisis? Hispanic Americans are probably following the events on wall street at a far distance. Obama knows his ad is an evil distortion the Hussein is completly immoral do not get me wrong I have no respect for Obama, But he runs this ad when the media will not talk about and point out the distortions.
2. The media is too strong in its support for Obama and no one is going to be able to stop them. The reasoning is simple since W is as unpopular as he is dishonest morons like Jack Cafferty can say McCain votes with Bush 90% of the time so he is W. This goes unqualified and no effort is made to argue exactly what W and McCain disagree on.
My thoughts are unless something huge happens Obama wins this election.
Wednesday, September 17, 2008
Cafferty simply put is a racist idiot, because when he looks at Obama all he sees is a black man. But when I look at Obama all I see is higher taxes and a bigger government.
Tuesday, September 16, 2008
“His tax plans really would kill jobs and hurt small businesses and make even today’s bad economy look like the good old days.”
This type of campaigning will work... Obama is running around reading change off a teleprompter and calling other folks dishonorable... blah blah, but when you get right down to the facts Obama is an abortion advocate who wants a HUGE government. John McCain is a Pro-life conservative who wants small government.
not suprised at all at their dominent effort against the OSU.
Monday, September 15, 2008
she is really creating a buzz and turning a formerly kind lady like Claire Mccaskill into an evil Obama possed spirit.
The real underlying problem for Obama is throughout the summer and as we head towards the fall Obama has lost his message of change. What I mean by that with his nasty surrogate Claire Mcfatskill going on sunday talk shows planning McCain's funerals and assuming he will not live to be 80. It shows how desperate the Obama camp is getting. This means his change message is exactly where McCain should want it at this point and that is simple. Obama's message is American is 100% broke and the only way to fix it is too create a larger federal government that can solve all of our huge problems.
Now if she thinks America should not elect John McCain because of his age then should missourians send her back to the senate until she gets into better shape?
last week McCain led by 2... 49-47
However if you look insid the numbers of the polls you will see they were not the exact same.
the most recent I will refer to as Poll#1 the older post will be Poll#2
Poll #1 surveyed
1. 29% conservative voters
1.35% conservative voters
2.33% Republicans and 37% Democrats
2. 35% Republican and 36% Democrats
3. 39% pro life and 57% pro choice
Poll #2 surveyed
3. 44% pro life and 52% pro choice
I am not claiming to know which sample size is better or which poll is more accurate. I am also no trained pollster to know if that is that big of a difference. But I think the the more recent survey was a slightly more liberal portrait of Virginia than the survey taken a week before.
But it highlights what I fear, that is just a subtle difference in turnout can change the outcome of this election. If I had to guess who will have better turnout I would have to assume it would be the Obama machine.
Saturday, September 13, 2008
Friday, September 12, 2008
John McCain leads in Missouri
Thursday, September 11, 2008
I do not think Obama will win in a landslide, but I think he has a slightly better than 50/50 chance of winning.
Most Democrats who when state anything in Alabama work they way up through the ranks in Montgomery. Artur has the misfortune of having gone to Washington first. Now Artur has had to vote many times and those votes may or may not come back to haunt him we shall see.
I do not know his voting record, but I expect it is moderate. The the problem for Artur is only a few liberal votes can sink you in this state. I think he does a good job of representing Birmingham and the rest of his district, but I would advice him to work his way up in the house of Representatives as opposed to running for a Montgomery office.
Obama is having slightly fewer ways to 270 and McCain is opening a few more routes. McCain is appearing to gain strength in Pennsylvania and New Mexico. At the same time McCain is also polling better in Virginia, Ohio, and Florida.
Wednesday, September 10, 2008
Or maybe his ads are true I am not sure about the whole sex ed for kids commercial. That was below the belt if it was not 100% true I mean Obama has young daughters.
At anyrate.... I think part of his strategy is to get the media turned against him even more and drive voter turnout like Bush did. I think it may work and whatever gets John McCain and Sarah Palin elected I am for!!
I guess campaigning in France paid off big for Hollywood Hussein Obama..
he leads among French 80%-7%
But if we dig ever so slightly deeper we realize McCain won the chess match, but for an odd reason.
Obama was winning in the polls and picked Biden as a way of diverting from his lack of experience I think this was a reasonable choice. Given Obama had stayed ahead throught almost the entire summer.
then Obama gets a bump in the polls during the DNC this makes folks worry and puts pressure on McCain. He goes for the gamble and picks Palin. Now had Obama picked Hillary, Palin would have been off the table. I do not think you would get much benefit from Palin going against Hillary.
At this point Palin is carrying McCain to a tie or the lead. I like McCain's chances and Obama's arrogance of not picking Hillary should get atleast half the credit.
Polls in that state are trending McCain's way slowly, but surely. This would go along with the other previously mentioned states whereHollywood Hussein Obama wasted millions of dollars. Pride comes before the fall. What I mean by that is Hollywood Hussein wanted to win in a landslide and so he spent loads of money in Indiana, North Carolina, Georgia, Monatanna and other states in order to win in an electoral landslide. This is beginning to seem like what may cause McCain to have a fighting chance. Wasted money by Hollywood.
Plus good news from Virginia and Missouri... slightly bad news for McCain from Michigan and New Hampshire.
Michigan, New Hampshire, Missouri, Virginia polling data
Some folks may not be voting for Obama because he is black (that is awful). Some folks may not be voting for McCain because he is old(that is awful). But could it be, Roland Martin, that some folks in unions are voting for McCain because they do not want their jobs taxed overseas? Could it be some folks are not voting for Obama because they believe he is inexperienced? Could it be they are voting for John McCain because they are turned off by moveon, the dailykos, and Huffpo? Could it be they are not for Obama because he wants to surrender in Iraq no matter what the situation on the ground is? Could it be that women are voting for McCain because Sarah Palin inspires them? Maybe they believe it is not the governments job to fix any and every problem? Maybe they do not want to elect Biden and Obama because of their barbaric views on abortion? Could it have something to do with the fact that they want to rest assured their gun rights will be protected? Could it be John McCain is an inspiring leader who went through hell to stand up for his countries honor? Could it be?
or possibly this country is just not as progressive as whiny brat progressives like Roland... and Martin should just write offensive articles declaring anyone who does not vote for Obama a racist.
Tuesday, September 9, 2008
Congressman Korrupt Kanjorski who plays politics with war is in big trouble...
VOTE FOR LOU!!
also vote in our most likely for McCain to win poll. All of those states coupeled with wins in Florida, Ohio, and Virginia would put McCain over the top.
It has to make you laugh that the Obama campaign has wasted so much time and money in Georgia, North Carolina, Mississippi spending money and trying to expand the field so Obama could look like he transcended the red blue culture. All that money is gone now!!
the nerve of angry Joe Biden to accuses Palin of not supporting those with special needs. While Biden says life begins at conception, but supports abortion which would then in fact be the killing of human beings.
If you are following this election closely you must visit fivethirtyeight.com, Today they are of note though because of their excellent analysis of my dear state of Alabama.
huge lead among independents
whining from the other side...
Monday, September 8, 2008
The courts would no longer be able to legislate marriage definitions from the bench. But why does Barack not come out and say he supports gay marriage?
McCain closes gap in Washington...
McCain. This could mean that McCain has brought back some folks that were ashamed to admit they were Republican or conservative.
****my take on where this election stands before seeing any state polling****
I think John McCain will have taken Indiana, Nevada, Montana, North Dakota, and of course Alaska will be off the map for the Democrats.(unless something major happens between now and election day) I believe that Virginia will begin the process of getting itself of the swing state list.
When the polls do come out the states I am most intriqued to see are Ohio, Michigan, and New Hampshire. If McCain is leading in Ohio, only down by a few points in Michigan, and tied in New Hampshire this would be a great day for McCain. He will have put Obama on defense.
and here is their ad...
That is 5 higher than Obama and reflects McCain's appeal on both sides.
Sunday, September 7, 2008
by 10 among likely voters and by 4 among registered voters!!
This week it goes to the ECU Pirates for an outstanding start to the season. Big times wins over Virginia Tech in week 1 and West Virginia in week 2 show that ECU and coach Skip Holtz are ready for the big time.
retroactively I would like to make the Alabama Crimson Tide the team of the week for week 1 after their huge win over a talented Clemson team.
Friday, September 5, 2008
A. This shows they believe women do not have the strength to attract men and women voters. It also belittles all of her accomplishments.
B. They believe she cannot attract women voters this is really going to backfire. They believe all of Hillary's famous 18 million voters are extreme leftist this is just simply very unlikely. The vote they are most likely not accounting for is women between the ages of 18 and 30. Women who may not fall into their partisan trap by becoming single issue voters(abortion). This may really encourage young women to vote for this strong and charismatic women.
Thursday, September 4, 2008
The wrong change looks not to the future, but to the past for solutions that have failed us before and will surely fail us again. Like others before him, my opponent seems to think government is the answer to every problem. That's not change we can believe in.-Senator John McCain
What a job she has done I am shocked at how well she is performing. Not that I did not have high expectations, but this is just truly moving.
Tom Cole talks about GOP chances in the fall and what impact Palin will have on congressional Republicans chances.
But I think when it comes to the electoral map this pick is going to make a lot of sense in the weeks to come as polling moves away from the convention and towards the debates. The states I mentioned specifically were the conservative mountain west, Virginia, and Indiana. I believe this to be true. Nothing would be better for John McCain than to be ahead in all of those states. If this convention plays out and McCain has taken a 5 point lead in Virginia and an 8 point lead in indiana then folks he is in great shape to win this election.
It would narrow down the focus of the campaign to Nevada, Colorado, Michigan, and Ohio. Now I believe ultimately unless this election is a blow out for Obama Nevada will go for McCain. So it comes down to Colorado, Michigan, and Ohio. Dear folks that would be an outstanding place for McCain to get down to. It would mean Obama has wasted millions of dollars in states he could not compete in and narrow the field down to the states McCain has banked on.
Woodward notes that Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama opposed the surge, while GOP presidential candidate John McCain was “advocating more troops for years.” Woodward also quotes McCain expressing frustration with the Bush White House, clenching his fists in the West Wing and exclaiming to Woodward: “Everything is f---ing spin.”
The theme that could and should win the election is that the Democrats truly believe America is broke and that Obama needs to go to the White House to fix it. But John McCain and Sarah Palin believe that Washington is broke.
Wednesday, September 3, 2008
Joe Lieberman may get cut.
1. Ohio- McCain loses its over
2. Virginia/ Colorado- if McCain loses both its over... if McCain wins one he must win. ....
essentially McCain must win 3/4 of those states.
The good news is very simple. From polling during the DNC McCain holds a 47-45 lead in Ohio.
at any rate here is Campell " Obama Girl" Brown interviewing Tucker Bounds..
on second thought I am not going to even show it again.
Tuesday, September 2, 2008
we see unfortunately lefty Campell Brown has tanked completely for Obama. She has never given any sort of a hard hitting interview to Hollywood Hussein delegate.
I guess Campell Brown believes women should only be spokeswomen for a campaign ( a role she loves in the Obama campaign) and not VP's. Well her stance against powerful women shows her jealousy.
calls critics elitist... I agree..
I will say Obama must comeback down under 50% by the end of this week.
We can now be 100% Obama does not respect small town Americans.
Monday, September 1, 2008
And they think Karl Rove is evil..
Sunday, August 31, 2008
Great way to start the season.. ROLL TIDE!!
48-42 Obama... yesterday it was 49-41...
Gallup polls represent 4 days of polling... this has two day of DNC and two days of Palin. Expect a jump tomorrow bringing this race even closer. FOLKS VOLUNTEER, REGISTER TO VOTE, talk to your neighbor about how you wish Washington was not so arrogant and believed it had all the solutions... and how you believe John McCain and Sarah Palin can bring American back to the people and out of Washington..
Friday, August 29, 2008
Their tireless work has shown what an impact bloggers can have on the political process. This was victory for grassroots conservatives we have clearly sent the liberals into a tailspin. This has solidified this ticket as the ticket that believes in Americans and hard work.
No matter what happens in the fall we have leader for our conservative values that will take us into the next decade.
Independent Maverick Conservative
REGISTER TO VOTE!!
All the Obama camp can do is go back to dissing small town Americans and belittle small town folks and small town mayors.
Thursday, August 28, 2008
Obama simply put gave a partisan, broad speech....
Hollywood hussein Obama says he is above partisan politics, but I sure do not see that in any of his actions...
Wednesday, August 27, 2008
also it is very obvious to me why Republicans have so much success in Presidential elections and slightly less in local elections..
Democrats come every four years out of their little districts and cry and beg and plead for a bigger more federal government.... while complaining about the economy.... Their pious belief that they are somehow doing God's work by expanding our federal government does not seem to translate outside of the convention halls and media round tables.
Americans belief in businesses and belief the market can and will stabilize itself, but they also belief that there is a higher good which even without the all mighty federal government will lead others to help their fellow man.
With each complaint and warn out story the Democrats put more and more distance between themselves and the American people.
Bill Clinton's speech was wasted on partisan rhetoric when it could have been used to reconnect with some of the rural voters that helped lead him to the white house. Bill Clinton had one goal and that was to regain his spot of relevance in the DNC, but he certainly did not reach out to moderates and Republicans in his speech.
Foolishly enough Obama is fixing to solidify himself as a celebrity tomorrow night. Overall this will flow well into McCain naming his VP and then having a strong positive message amount the American People in Minnesota.
The fundamental reason Obama may well lose this race is his sincere belief that America is a bad place right now and that people have no hope. His belief is that he can return America to greatness, but that it has to be returned.
John McCain will have a message that America's worst days are better than the best days in where else on this planet. He will also be able to say he can take it to places far better than we are today.
lets make a list of major questions the Democrats themes would have us believe they are trying to answer.
1. Where the heck did Obama really come from/ explain that they are just like us...
2. Are the Democrats united?
3. is Obama ready to lead?
To me the fact that they have spent so much time trying to paint McCain as a third term of Bush they deserve to have to explain these basic questions. But it really does reflect poorly on Hollywood Hussein that he is having to have convention just to explain who he is...
Every speaker tells how they rose from nothing to become a wealthy public servant, but none of them believe Americans are capable of rising to the the top without the government doing it for them.
The generally negative tone of the convention is going to drive up Obama's negatives I would imagine.
Now the good part we looked at what questions the Democrats have tried to answer now lets look at what questions McCain can answer
1. Who is John McCain... which in short is a war hero who has put ideology aside in order to be the best public servant possible.
2. why is he unlike Bush.... GLOBAL WARMING, Campaign reform, advocating the surge, and more pragmatic amongst other things...
3. Why is Obama not ready to lead...
4. Why McCain is the best candidate for our taxes and safety!!!
This should be good and if I were a betting man I would say he picks Romney and Romney is an effective attack dog!!
The Obama campaign seems to believe that Keith Oblermann is the referee of this general election.
As we have seen at the convention the Democrat party is just a huge gathering of folks begging for government handouts and attacking imaginary enemies. The routine is old and boring. This new kind of politics is more of the same. You find as many people as you can to start a drum beat that the other side is an attack macine while you are just the victim... YEAH RIGHT!!
Back to the main point and the Democrats politics of fear... Man the d's know how to put a guy to sleep. The democrats economic plan is find as many whining liberals to complain about all there personal problems and then add it all to our national debt to China. Sounds like a plan!!
Tuesday, August 26, 2008
Monday, August 25, 2008
I wonder which America Edwards was in when he made those calls...
atleast this ticket is balanced with corruption at top and bottem...
This is outstanding for John McCain his clever ad
is keeping his message in the headlines and is forcing democrats to show their lack of unity.
Friday, August 22, 2008
Thursday, August 21, 2008
Although it seems likely right now he could pull that off I believe he needs a solid 3 point lead in any state to counter act the possible undected success Obama could have from his volunteer network. That said my belief is John McCain is closer, but he has not yet overtaken Hollywood.
McCain supporters have got to become active volunteers telling their friends and families about John McCain.
I would say my gut now tells me Obama has about a 60% chance of winning about 2 weeks ago I would have said 80% so we are getting there
Wednesday, August 20, 2008
Barack Obama's smear campaign rolls on...
John Kerry 04 vs Obama 08
John McCain is in much better shape than W was...
Monday, August 18, 2008
Hollywood Hussein Obama is a dishonest corrupt politician who has resorted to an all out smear campaign against John McCain. Attacking as if he is a first grader telling the teacher on John McCain he presents John McCain as some sort of bully whom we should "fear".
Obama is a abortion advocate plain and simple. He has no clear vision on life, but he has a clear vision on abortion and the unborn. Abortion is good and the unborn have no value.
Obama's barbaric views on abortion and contempt for the right to life movement make him a scary presidential candidate.
Friday, August 15, 2008
At anyrate Josh Segall is a liberal!!
Monday, August 11, 2008
Barack Obama is trying to buy the whitehouse...
John McCain has picked the celeb angle he needs to ride it to the whitehouse...
McCain needs support from outside groups... good luck...
Vote for your local Republicans.. if you are a conservative... we have to stop the bleeding...
McCain has to win Virginia, Ohio, and Colorado or Michigan...
W looked content in China I was glad for him... I think there will be plenty of time to look back at his two terms and history will tell that story..
thanks and talk to you next week..
by the way Josh Segall is a liberal.. Vote Mike Rogers
Friday, August 8, 2008
Admits to Affair!!
Thursday, August 7, 2008
Is he the Veep? I have no idea....
Lets be honest this election is 80% about whether or not John McCain can win Ohio and Virginia. The next 20% is about McCain either winning Colorado or Michigan. Under some certain circumstances New Hampshire is extremely important because a tie goes to Mr. Obama and it could be a tie breaker. Because of the nature of the campaign I believe Obama is and should be more focused on winning more than enough states to get the 270.
This means McCain has been smart in his travels. My only complaint would be more trips to Virginia and Colorado. I am of the belief that Michigan is a more likely McCain state than Wisconsin or Oregon. Either of which could replace Michigan as the Blue state McCain can pick off.
McCain most important states...
In my opinion...
He is an idiot for many reasons...
We should all remember that no matter how much we dislike Obama's warped view of the world and how much we do not want his liberal judges on our courts he is an American. He is not a muslim and even if he were a muslim that would not mean he is a terrorist. Obama is a threat to the economic stability and social values, but lets deal with this through and election and through idiotic death threats.
Wednesday, August 6, 2008
I am sure Josh Segall is a wonderful human being and has many talents.
Here is where I part ways with Mr. Segall and where I will from this point forward focus my blogging on the race.
There is an often overlooked and sometimes neglected aspect of voting in Representative democracy. You vote for two things ...
1. A party and leadership
2. the person who will represent you and your concerns within the boundaries of the leadership that is elected.
A vote for Josh Segall is literally a vote for Nancy Pelosi. He will vote her as speaker of the house. This may or may not concern you... If it does you have to seriously consider this before you vote. You also have to consider that when Mr. Segall says he is for drilling those words are empty unless he votes someone besides Nancy Pelosi as speaker. She will not allow a vote on drilling. If you think Nancy Pelosi is a good leader and speaker and is concerned with Alabama then you should vote between Mike and Josh, but if you think Pelosi is too powerful and does not concern herself with Alabama and our values it would make very little sense to vote for Mr. Segall.
I will spend less time covering Josh for two reasons...
1. I am not as against him personally as I may have given the impression... I am against his negative campaign (essentially implying that Rogers takes bribes on his website designed to attack Rogers) and I am against the leadership he would vote for...
2. Defeating Segall is secondary to defeating Obama and Kanjorski...
So at any rate I hope folks will come back and enjoy this site...